Polymarket Gives 18% Odds to a Tesla-SpaceX Merger Announcement in 2026

Polymarket traders assign just an 18% probability that Tesla and SpaceX will officially announce a merger before the end of 2026, despite months of speculation about the two companies. The odds reveal deep skepticism, even as operational overlap among Elon Musk’s flagship firms continues to grow. What the Prediction Markets Actually Show A prediction market