$4 Billion Bet on France? Polymarket Odds at 39% as World Cup Semi-Final Looms Against Spain

The 2026 FIFA World Cup has turned prediction markets into one of the most active trading arenas on the planet. Combined volume on Kalshi and Polymarket surged 75% to $44.8 billion in June, according to Bitcoin Foundation data. As France prepares to face Spain today (July 14, AT&T Stadium, Dallas), Polymarket’s flagship World Cup winner